Roy D. Kamphausen on China, Where Do We Go From Here?

Roy D. Kamphausen was our speaker at the AFIO AZ general meeting on February 11, 2021. His topic was The China Challenge.

Mr. Kamphausen began with an overview of China’s history and economy. He then dove right in, stating that the likelihood of a great powers war with China is remote but it will be a “long slog”, reminiscent of the struggle between the US and the USSR in the last century.

Mr. Kamphausen reviewed a list of issues that we will be dealing with over the next few years with China and talked about the Biden Administration’s plans. Next was an in-depth view of the Chinese military and economic situation. He even touched on India Chinese relations, and finished with a wide ranging Q&A session.

A little background on Roy Kamphausen. He joind the National Bureau of Asian Research (NBR) in 2004 as Senior Vice President for Research and is currently President of the organization. During his time there, he has had direct engagement with various Administrations, the U.S. Congress, the U.S. Department of Defense, and foreign embassies in Washington, D.C. Mr. Kamphausen’s areas of expertise include China’s People’s Liberation Army, U.S.-China defense relations, East Asian security issues, innovation, and intellectual property protection. Mr. Kamphausen has authored, contributed, and co-edited numerous publications, and has served as Deputy Director of the Commission on the Theft of American Intellectual Property. Mr. Kamphausen is frequently cited in U.S. and international media, including CNN, the Financial Times, Foreign Policy, National Public Radio, Newsweek, and the New York Times.

Prior to joining NBR, Mr. Kamphausen served as a career U.S. Army officer. As a China foreign area officer, his career included assignments as China policy director in the Office of the Secretary of Defense, China strategist for the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, and a military attaché at the U.S. Embassy in Beijing. Mr. Kamphausen holds a BA in Political Science and an MA in International Affairs. He studied Chinese at both the Defense Language Institute and Beijing’s Capital Normal University.

You can contact Mr. Kamphausen thru his website,

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